Poll: Trump would win the Florida Hispanic vote with strong support from Cuban Americans

A survey published this Tuesday shows how Cuban-American voters in Florida would become a key support for Republican candidate Donald Trump a few weeks before the general elections in the United States.

The revelation came to light after a survey conducted by Telemundo Station Group and Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. in the Sunshine State, revealing the decisions Latino voters would make in this year’s presidential election.

According to the survey, 61% of Cuban voters would favor Trump, while only 28% would favor Kamala Harris, unlike Puerto Ricans, who mostly favor the Democratic candidate. In the group of other Latinos, 47% would choose Trump, while 41% would choose Harris.

If the state's Latino voters are broken down, Harris would beat Trump in Central Florida 45% to 39%.

In Tampa Bay, Harris leads 48% to 43% while, in southeast Florida, Trump would win 53% to 38%, with 4% undecided.

The survey, with a margin of error of +/- 4 percent, interviewed by telephone 625 Hispanics registered in Florida, who were asked, if the elections were held today, which presidential duo they would choose.

In response, 48% would favor Trump and his running mate J.D. Vance, and 41% would favor Harris and Tim Walz.

Only 4% would vote for other parties.

A total of 53% of women would support Harris and 37% would support Trump with 7% undecided. Meanwhile, 60% of men would vote for Trump and 28% for Harris, with 6% undecided.

Another notable fact in the results is that young voters were virtually tied. The poll revealed that among voters under 50 years of age, 44% prefer Harris and 43% prefer Trump.

On the other hand, there is quite a difference in voters over 50 years of age, where Trump has 53% of the votes and Harris with 37%.

Meanwhile, in the battle for the Senate representing the state of Florida, Republican candidate, Sen. Rick Scott has 48% of Latino voters, while Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has only 37% of the same group.

The survey was conducted between Sept. 23-25, 2024. All those interviewed said that they were likely to vote in the general elections next November. Respondents were randomly selected from a Florida voter registration list, which included landline and cell phone numbers.

On Sept. 12, ADN America reported that a study conducted by the UCLA Latino and Policy and Politics Institute concluded that the key to candidates winning the Hispanic vote in the state of Florida was releasing more Spanish language ads.

“The state’s Latino eligible voting population has significantly higher rates of speaking Spanish,” says UCLA’s “data brief.” “Four in five Latino eligible voters in Florida are Spanish speakers, including 30% of Latinos who only speak Spanish. These high rates are more pronounced in Miami-Dade County, where more than 90% of Latinos speak Spanish.”